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July 05, 2009

Jer Thorp

Two amazing visualisations from Jer Thorp:

First up - 'Just Landed' - originated from a thought about the data that is hidden in various social network information streams, this visualisation finds tweets that contain the phrase 'just landed in', parses out the location they’d just landed in along with the home location they list on their Twitter profile, and maps out global travel in the twittersphere...

Just Landed - Test Render (4 hrs) from blprnt on Vimeo.

Next up, a visualisation of the UK National DNA database, the largest DNA database in the world holding profiles of 4.5 million individuals. The central graphic is a DNA strand with one dot for each of the profiles in the database, and the visual is further broken down into racial groups, age groups, and those who have been charged versus those who are ‘innocent’.
UK DNA database
UK DNA database 1
UK DNA database 2
Amazing work.

July 03, 2009

Post Of The Month Nominations - June '09

ThinktankPOTM

...are now open. Please nominate any good posts that you've read that were posted in the month of June by leaving a link in the comments to this post. As a starter, I've listed six of my own favourites below (sorry - so many good ones to choose from this month I found it hard to edit the list down) and as usual, the rest of the shortlist will be made up of your nominations (though I promise not to make it too long a list). The full shortlist along with a poll will be up in a few days and voting can start. As usual, this is about recognising the good writing and thinking around the plannersphere so any help to spread the word is appreciated. Here's the starting six:

Time As Context... from Charlie Gower

The Price of Pomposity... from Euan Semple

Nixon And Complexity... from Charles Frith

Purefold's Family Tree... from Leland Maschmeyer

How Small Change Became Big Money... from James Cherkoff

Creative Paralysis... from Dave Trott

Please nominate your own favourites below.

July 02, 2009

Making Money From Free

No really

In case you missed it, there's been a mild spat going on between two heavyweights in cultural thinking. In the blue corner, Chris Anderson is out launching his new book on 'Free' (The Future of A Radical Price) : marginal costs trend to zero in a world of ubiquitous choice and rapid technological advancement; the economics of abundance require fundamentally different thinking; incentives can be nonmonetary (reputation, attention, status). In the red corner, Malcolm Gladwell argues that Anderson takes little account of the actual cost of goods sold (e.g. it costs You Tube a lot to serve up the amount of video content they do), and that we'll still pay through the nose for goods and services we really need.

I saw Chris speak about his book earlier this week (most of what he talked about is included in the original 'Free' article which you can read here). One of the things that he acknowledged right at the beginning of his talk was the degree of suspicion with which concepts surrounding free are greeted. He's certainly not wrong about that. A typical and perhaps natural reaction to concepts involving free is to concentrate on value-destroying aspects. But to paraphrase Kevin Kelly, the internet is a copy machine producing copies of everything with a degree of permanence but without friction or cost to create the super-distribution network that we all know. So this is not new.

So perhaps it is more productive to focus on the value-generative aspects to Chris's argument. Kevin Kelly argues that when copies are super abundant, they become worthless so it is stuff which can't be copied that becomes scarce and valuable. The uncopyable tends towards the intangible (so qualities like trust, for example, are impossible to copy). He goes on to identify eight categories of intangible value that we buy when it could be free. Eight generatives that "demand an understanding of how abundance breeds a sharing mindset, how generosity is a business model, how vital it has become to cultivate and nurture qualities that can't be replicated with a click of the mouse". They are: immediacy, personalisation, interpretation, authenticity, accessibility, embodiment, patronage, and findability.

Chris is not saying that everything should be free (Henry Blodget is wrong), and in that sense, Gladwell and Anderson are (disappointingly) not so far apart. Whilst Gladwell says that the information wants to be free model doesn't work when applied to small, high value markets, Chris argues that "just because products are free doesn't mean that someone, somewhere, isn't making huge gobs of money"  and often that value comes from niche, and the more niche the better.

For what it's worth, I think Chris is right - for niche, read relevance. Relevance comes from time, place and context - delivering the right service or product or message or information or advice at the point in time when people need it most, in the place people need it most, and in the most relevant form and context. If that is a piece of content, or (dareisayit) a piece of advertising, I'm more likely to give it my attention and engage with it. If it is useful or relevant enough, if it gives me status, if I love it enough, if it lowers risk, if it saves me time, then there's a good chance I'm going to pay for it. This, is inherently why content producers need to think of their content in a different way - as a service rather than a product.

As Seth says: "People will pay for content if it is so unique they can't get it anywhere else, so fast they benefit from getting it before anyone else, or so related to their tribe that paying for it brings them closer to other people." 'Free' is a relatively cheap way of getting attention. Attention is a good platform from which to derive value.

June 30, 2009

Social Interfaces

Touchwall Demo from Joel on Vimeo.

For those not lucky enough to get to Cannes this year (me included), Schematic debuted a 12ft by 5ft intelligent, multi-user "Touchwall" designed to help delegates get the most from the event. As well as RFID technology that allowed the wall to recognise individual delegates, there were 3D maps, meeting scheduling, personalised workspaces and so on.

It looks impressive enough, but I think the really interesting thing about this (which is touched on in the video, along with the inevitable Minority Report comparison) is the fact that tangible interfaces of this kind are "social by nature" with multiple people working side-by-side meaning that it can foster communication not only through the screen, but in front of it as well. With the socialisation of both enterprise tools and media, it's easy to imagine the potential for both interactive out-of-home and the world of work. Nice.

June 29, 2009

Self-Generated Opportunity

Doom and gloom
Image courtesy
When I wrote about tweetable career advice, Andy left a comment suggesting one: "Don't look for the job you want. Create it." Sage advice. Because in spite of all the doom and gloom around I still believe that there is amazing potential for self-generated opportunity out there.

I've been reading The Element by Sir Ken Robinson (who recently delivered one of the best talks I've ever seen), which speaks of how important it is for the sake of individuals and for society for us to connect with our true talent, fulfill our creative potential, find the meeting point between our natural aptitude and personal passion. Being in your element combines these two features (aptitude and passion) with two conditions (attitude and opportunity): "The sequence goes something like this: I get it; I love it; I want it; Where is it?"

The new world of work happily aligns circumstance, environment and tools to make self-generated opportunity easier than ever before. The ease, for example, in being able to connect with other likeminded people who share the same passions and have a common sense of purpose. The attractiveness and accessibility of collaborating with others, setting up your own company, making products and services that the world really wants.

In this new world, and particularly in technology, the advantages of speed and agility are beginning to trump the advantages of size. It's never been easier for David to beat Goliath, especially when David doesn't play by the rules. When he changes the rhythm.

If you believe Chris Anderson, this crisis is not just cyclical but the end of an era, an era which has been witness more recently to the "growing diseconomies of scale", and in which the next new economy will favour the small.

Increasingly, I can't help but think that big organisations will be defined by how they respond not only to this challenge, but to the very real (and often overlooked) challenge of attracting the best people. To quote Paul Graham:

"An ambitious kid graduating from college now doesn't want to work for a big company. They want to work for the hot startup that's rapidly growing into one. If they're really ambitious, they want to start it."

For those organisations, the thing to appreciate is that this is not only an operational challenge, it's a cultural one too.

June 26, 2009

People Like People

Guilty
Image courtesy
Funny how these things happen. The day after I write about how important social platforms can be to content owners, Robin Goad from Hitwise goes and posts some great stats on how effective twitter is in driving traffic to media content sites. I won't repeat them (you can read the full post here) but the key one is that 56% of twitter's downstream traffic (ie. referrals to other websites) is to content-driven media sites compared to only 9.5% to transactional websites.

This is no surprise, right? As Gordon says, it wouldn't be twitter if it was any other way: "Who wants to turn twitter into QVC?". But in his post Robin goes on to make an interesting point about content owners on twitter:

"Although all of the newspapers have multiple 'official' feeds, these tend to be bland and have very low retweet rates. Journalists tweeting themselves and engaging with the Twitter community typically have more success in creating viral stories."

Twitter is a conversational medium so surely this is no surprise either, right? People want to connect with people. Of-course they do. I think there is room for media brands (it's not just newspapers remember) to feed links to content that I'm sufficiently interested or engaged with (in the same way that I don't mind people tweeting their blog posts). But whilst the temptation will always be to automate for efficiency there should always be room for some humanity and personality about it. The one thing that Twitter is not is a broadcast medium.

June 23, 2009

Making Money From Social (2)

2+2=5
Image courtesy

I've lost count of the number of people who have told me that the problem with social is that you can't make any money out of it. Yet content owners and producers the world over continue to wrestle with what Scott Karp calls 'the 10% problem' - the problem that if you apply old school media principles to digital content you find that revenue per user is typically a fraction of the revenue per offline viewer, reader, or listener.

Content owners aren't short of challenges: information wants to be free, content is ubiquitous, attention is the new scarcity. The old destination model said build it and they will come. Our content is good so people will come to us to consume it, and whilst they're here we'll throw a load of advertising at them.

In this scenario advertising revenue is often a factor of scale - the more users I have, the more ad impressions I can serve and charge for, and audiences are homogenous - a user is a user, a reader is a reader, a viewer a viewer.

Yet life is not linear. The world is not black and white. And social is neither. So perhaps it's time to ditch what Charles calls the "duality of binary classification", and time instead for "the complexity and infinite shades of grey that exist between the polar states of good and bad, black and white, north and south or up and down."

Take connections between people. Aristotle defined three types of friendship - friendship based on utility (utility being an impermanent thing, changing according to circumstance, disolving when the utility is no more), friendship based on pleasure (of the moment, changing as pleasures change), and 'perfect' friendship which is based on goodness (mutual respect, nourishing, lasting, trusting). Friendship is not black and white, and 'friend' (or 'fan' or 'follower') is a very blunt term.

Think about participation. There are many forms of it, and a significant difference between simply reading, or commenting and actually contributing. Forrester's Social Technographics ladder does a good job of reflecting the broad scope of such participation inequality.

Forrester technographics

Connection, participation - shades of grey. One user is not like another user. The key for content owners to make money out of social is to understand human subtleties like these. Less media, and more social, if you like. And so I think one of the most useful ways of thinking about your audience is through the level of engagement and interaction they have with what you're doing. The internet is a does medium. It's not for passive consumption, it's about interaction. So thinking of your audience in this way you immediately start to think differently about your content, and about the value you are delivering. Wary as I am about segmenting people into homogenous groups, I think it's useful to put a simple framework around this (I'm no David Armano so I'm afraid you'll have to make do with my rather crude representation).

Engagement3

At the outer edges is the content that people are sharing, passing on. This might be content in its original form or stuff that has been mashed-up and co-created, but the job for producers here is to design for speadable media - what Mike Arauz calls designing for networks not just groups of people. Using the phrase 'outer edges' is potentially misleading - people may be as engaged with what you do here as anywhere else and this is content that reaches out far and wide, brings new people into contact with what you do, spreads the word - what Seth Godin called 'Flipping the Funnel'. The value for the producer here is in the ability to spread your ideas, your brand and your content way beyond your own network or audience.

Then there is the content that is distributed out on the web and other platforms which people may or may not be actively sharing, but which they are actively consuming and interacting with. This has typically been content designed for the platforms (You Tube, Flickr, social networks et al) that can enable huge reach and a ready made network that creates the potential for ideas to spread quickly. Increasingly, I think we'll see more content designed for streams, where (as Glen Hiemstra says) it is the flow of information that matters. It's interesting that twitter and Facebook now refer significant proportions of traffic to some content sites, in some cases comparable to Google. And some of the most interesting content innovations out there like Stephen Fry's The Dongle of Donald Trefusis, and Paul Morley's Showing Off that Russell wrote about, and David and Tom's Purefold, play on the fact that the content is multi-faceted, transmedia, and part of broader streams. There is simple direct value here for the producer (like a revenue share on videos played on You Tube), as well as the indirect value of a tonne of referals.

And then there is what happens on your website. An appreciation of differing levels of interaction (and that one user is not, after all, like another user) is important because there is a lot of difference between a drive-by (someone who comes to your site looking for a specific piece of information, often driven by search, likely not to linger long once they've found what they're looking for), and people who browse (consume but don't necessarily interact), or those who occasionally interact and contribute, or those who are your superusers (those who interact the most, comment the most, contribute the majority of UGC, are most engaged with what your doing).

Websites used to be everything. I think their role now is more akin to a kind of content hub supporting a more distributed presence. Designing for platforms and streams enables an exponentially larger reach for content than could ever be acheived through a destination model, so in this way scale comes through connection. With decent content acheiving scale is relatively easy, but scale without connection is one-dimensional. Because connection builds permission: "the understanding that the real asset most organisations can build isn't an amorphous brand but is in fact the privilege of delivering anticipated, personal and relevant messages to people who want to get them."

That last quote was from Seth Godin. In Tribes, Seth talks about the fact that what people really want is the ability to connect to each other, not to companies, so services that facilitate connection, give people stories to tell and something to talk about, build permission. It flips the focus from looking for customers for your products, to seeking out products (and services) for the tribe (HT to Simon for reminding me of that).

This means that content owners need to reach out and engage their audiences wherever they are. When we think about online communities, it's easy to slip back into old destination thinking about attempting to "build" an online community around your brand. But to paraphrase Mark Zuckerberg, communities already exist, so the job instead should be to think about how you can help that community do what it wants to do. Communities are fluid and ever changing. So a better model is to think about multiple assets (social objects or ideas if you like) each with their own levels of participation.

Engagement4 

So what of the thorny subject of paywalls? I'm going to conform to my self-interest here and say that I believe that provided publishers create services that have enough value to the end user, I'm convinced that people will pay for it. The key word here is services - in a world of ubiquitous free content replicating old print subscription models is unlikely to work but, like Tim says, that is generally not how people consume digital media. Our experience of digital consumption is a whole lot more fragmented, dipping in and out of a huge number of different sources. So services which aggregate the kind of highly relevant, interesting in-depth or curated short-form content for me, or which apply producer expertise in new ways to deliver useful services to me may just be the answer.

I said in the previous post on this subject that the way to make money in social is to think about the value you are creating. This is useful since too many people forget that with a two-way medium, the exchange of value is what's really important - the more relevant the content and services, the deeper the level of user participation and interaction, the higher the contribution of value in terms of engagement and data. If there are essentially three ways of monetizing content and services - transaction, subscription and advertising - I would argue that users who are highly engaged with what you're doing are far more likely to transact on your site, subscribe to your services, and interact with the advertising than those who are not. So it's probably a good idea to know who those people are. And we're not short of ways of generating revenue from engaged users: aggregation, outreach, sampling, seeding, PR, behavioural, subscription, affiliate, data, newsletters, display advertising, sponsorship, services, applications, I could go on. All very measurable, all very accountable, at every level.

Let's face it, we're all in business, we're all here to make money. The point is that social gives you the platform. The platform from which to listen, understand, converse, engage. The platform on which the content business of the future will be built.

I've done a lot of thinking aloud here. As always, comments and feedback very welcome.

June 19, 2009

Tweetable Career Advice

Cobblers
Image courtesy
This is a lovely idea from Ad Age - career advice in 140 characters from young creatives, planners and account execs "challenging norms and flipping the communications industry inside out". Here's my favourites:

Noah Brier, head of planning and strategy, the Barbarian Group, on ideas: "If you can't explain it simply, you don't understand it well enough."

Heidi Hackemer, senior account planner, BBH, on work: "Work your ass off. Love people/brands/culture. Embrace your crazy. Remember it's just advertising. And dance whenever possible. It helps."

Bud Caddell, strategist, Undercurrent, on leadership: "As a member of the most culturally and technologically literate generation, quit looking for a job and instead find an empire to sack."

More here.

June 18, 2009

Doing By Not Doing

Unfortunately I didn't get to go to this years Google Zeitgeist event a few weeks back, but I know a man that did and he came back raving about the final session of the first day - a talk by reknowned Isreali conductor Itay Talgam. Having now seen it, I can see why. Itay uses the metaphor of conducting to talk about leadership and collaboration: the importance of opening space for interpretation within organisations; the price of over-control; what he calls "doing by not doing". It's fascinating. And well worth half an hour of your time.

June 16, 2009

When Is a Revolution A Revolution?

What's been happening around #iranelection has been truly remarkable. The State Department even asked twitter to delay a planned upgrade that would have cut daytime service to Iranians disputing the election. The role of social tools in major global events just seems to get bigger, and deeper.

One of my favourite Clay Shirky quotes is about how tools "don't get socially interesting until they get technologically boring". In his May TED talk, which has just been posted, he talks about the scale of change we are amidst - the change from 20th century media - media that is good at creating groups but no good at creating conversation (broadcast), and media that is good at conversation but no good at creating groups (like the telephone), to "the largest increase in expressive capability in human history" where "innovation can happen anywhere that people feel that we're in this together".

I've read a couple of things recently bemoaning the 'social media revolution' as a misnomer. Clay is right - the real change is in the connectivity of the modern world. Is this a revolution or is it not a revolution? It doesn't matter. The point is that things have changed for good.

June 14, 2009

Pomposity And Innovation

Mediocrity

Image courtesy

Like Euan, I seem to get told on a daily basis that the problem with social media is that you can't make money out of it and that twitter is little more than people telling other people what they had for lunch. I can understand a little scepticism, particularly from those who are not actively engaged in it (like many of the journalists who seem to write about it), but Euan goes on to make a great point about this:

"Every time someone is faced with a pompous response to a suggestion or idea they take one step back and become much less likely to ever offer their heartfelt thoughts again. Imagine the impact this has on the creativity and innovation that organisations depend on."

It's one thing accepting a degree of cynicism, but quite another accepting the not insignificant cost to business that can result from it. I agree with this TIME piece:- that the value being created by the communities that support, build on, and use such social tools continues to be inspirational:

"We are living through the worst economic crisis in generations, with apocalyptic headlines threatening the end of capitalism as we know it, and yet in the middle of this chaos, the engineers at Twitter headquarters are scrambling to keep the servers up, application developers are releasing their latest builds, and ordinary users are figuring out all the ingenious ways to put these tools to use"

June 13, 2009

Bubble Battle

NY bubble battle
Image courtesy
This is lovely idea. A giant bubble battle in Times Square, organised by Newmindspace. Bringing people together and giving them something to do. Here's the Flickr pool to last year's event. And a nice video below. If you happen to be in NYC, this year's bubble battle takes place in Times Square on Saturday 21st June at 6.21: "Bring bubble toys, bubble generators, bubble solution, and plenty of AA batteries".

2008 NYC Bubble Battle in Times Square from psexnyc on Vimeo.

June 12, 2009

Think Tank - May '09 - The Winner

Ahem. Poll Authority appears to have crashed half way through the vote for Post of the Month and has been borked for the past 24 hours. Fortunately I'd seen where the results were standing just before it went down, and there was a clear leader at the time so I propose to cut the vote short at that point and declare the winner as Ivan Pollard's Post Modern Take On Digital. Well done Ivan, and apologies to all those who stopped by to vote in the past 24 hours and found they couldn't. Anyone not happy with me doing this let me know, but I think it's the best thing to do. Thanks again for everyone's support. Thinking I'll use a different voting system next time - any recommendations?

June 09, 2009

Think Tank - May '09 - The Vote

OK. The vote is open for Post of the Month. A shorter short-list this month - thanks to James, Tim and Steve for the nominations (though sorry Steve, I couldn't use yours as it didn't point to a single post or series of posts). So please help spread the word that voting is underway, and of-course vote yourself below. Our shortlist this month is:

A Post-Modern Take On Digital from Ivan Pollard

The Most Powerful Force In Marketing by The Ad Contrarian

Fluff vs Meaning from Andy Whitlock

Will Spotify Revolutionise the Music Industry? from Simon Kendrick

Robert J Coen, Advertising Data Hero by Douglas Galbi

Open Data And The Future of Business part one, two & three from Noah Brier

And you can vote below...

June 08, 2009

Three Wolf Moon

Threewolfmoon
Image source
Thanks to Jaime for pointing me at this hilarious story from the BBC. The Three Wolf Moon T-shirt has become the top selling fashion item on Amazon.com, increasing sales by 2300% after a series of ironic customer reviews 'went viral'. The first review (five stars of-course) said it "Fits my girthy frame, has wolves on it, attracts women" but "cannot see wolves with arms crossed". Hundreds of others then piled in with reviews ranging from "When I put this T-shirt on for the first time, my wife left me! Thank you, Three Wolf Moon T-Shirt," to "Unfortunately I already had this exact picture tattooed on my chest, but this shirt is very useful in colder weather." At time of writing there were over a thousand such gems.

It's so HERD-like it reminded me of the sasquatch music festival dancing video that got a lot of twitter coverage at the end of last week. Either way, it's got to be one of the funniest case studies on how ideas spread. You never know, as an ironic T-Shirt perhaps it will catch on...

Threewolfmoon 1

Image source

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